Posts Tagged ‘Economic Update’

Interest Rates: RBA cuts another 0.75% to 5.25%

Here’s the media release from the Reserve Bank of Australia state the reasons for the 0.75% interest rate drop today. Official interest rates is now 5.25% from an all time high of 7.25% (5th March 2008)! The last time interest rates in Australia was 5.25% was 3rd December 2003 (nearly 5 years ago), be expecting mortgage interest rates to be below 7% for the first time in a very long time!

Looking through the RBA media release, I think the important sentence out of the whole media release is, “…On balance, it appears likely that spending and activity will be weaker than earlier expected….”

End of the day its good news for people with variable mortgages, if you fixed your home loans… hopefully you didn’t fix your interest rates for too long. As with the economy only time will tell how severe its has been effected. Over the next few years I wouldn’t be surprised if unemployment increased as small to medium businesses close their doors or at least cut back their goods and services as demand drops.  

It’s definitely worth learning and understanding about investing particularly over the next few years, such as the stock market or in real estate . Interest rates are now ”low” and there are many buying opportunities if you have the cash or the cashflow to service the debt. Take advantage of this opportunity and start your nest egg or build on it especially in these depressed times.

Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor Monetary Policy

At its meeting today, the Board decided to reduce the cash rate by 75 basis points to 5.25 per cent, effective 5 November 2008.

World financial markets have remained turbulent over the past month. Global equity prices have been volatile and fell further in net terms, and there have been significant exchange rate movements, including a sharp depreciation of the Australian dollar.  A number of governments have announced measures to strengthen their financial systems, which should help to stabilise conditions over time.

International economic data have continued to point to significant weakness in the major industrial economies, and there have been further signs that China and other parts of the developing world are slowing as well. These conditions have contributed to further falls in world commodity prices.

In Australia, the overall path of economic activity appears until recently to have been close to what the Board had expected, with a needed moderation in demand occurring after a period of earlier strength. Recent reductions in borrowing rates, the depreciation of the exchange rate and the fiscal stimulus announced in October will work to assist growth in the period ahead, but deteriorating international conditions and falling commodity prices will have a dampening influence. On balance, it appears likely that spending and activity will be weaker than earlier expected.

Consumer price inflation in Australia remained high in the September quarter. As expected, CPI inflation in year?ended terms picked up to 5 per cent, while underlying measures were just over 4½ per cent.  Nonetheless, capacity pressures are now easing and, given the outlook for more moderate growth in demand and activity, it is reasonable to expect that inflation in Australia will soon start to fall. Global disinflationary forces will assist in this regard, though the depreciation of the exchange rate means that the decline of inflation to the target could take longer than would otherwise be the case.

Weighing up these international and domestic developments, the Board judged that a further significant reduction in the cash rate was warranted. The Board will continue to monitor developments and make adjustments as needed to promote sustainable growth consistent with achieving the 2–3 per cent inflation target over time.

official statement by the RBA

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Economic Update – Is Australia at Risk?

The world economy is having a challenging time at the moment so here’s a quick economic update on the general economy and obviously the Economic Growth of Australia

Firstly, the Australian dollar is currently trading at around $0.62 USD/AUD. It’s fallen quite substantially from a high of $0.95 about 3 months ago. So, if you had any foreign currency that you’ve been waiting to bring back to Oz, now is a very good time!

Secondly, interest rates are still set to drop next week, Tuesday, 4th November 2008. It’s currently set at anything between 50-100 basis points depending on how the reserve bank feels the Australian economy is holding out. Recent inflation reading was 5% which is higher than the target of 2-3%, that said, inflation is a lagging economic indicator and RBA is hoping the recent slow down in the world’s economy will bring inflation down for the next reading. If not, the RBA will have be pulling what’s left of their hair on what to do with interest rates.

Lastly, Couple of weeks ago, The Australian government announced a $10.4billion stimulus package which will help with reduce the impact of negative economic growth and the threat of a recession in Australia. If you haven’t already read about the stimulus package it comes in three major parts:

  • 4.8b for Pensioners
  • 3.9b for Families
  • 1.5b for First Home Buyer

Here’s more details on the 10.4b stimulus package which you can easily Google and find on any news site:

Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and Treasurer Wayne Swan unveiled the emergency spending plan, which allows for $4.8 billion for pensions, $3.9 billion in support payments for families, and $1.5 billion for first-home buyers.

$4.8b down payment to pensioners, payable in December. The pension aid will assist four million pensioners, carers and seniors, with single pensioners receiving a lump sum payment of $1,400, while pensioner couples will receive $2,100. People receiving the carers’ allowance will also receive
$1,000 for each eligible person in their care.

$3.9b in support payments for families. Approximately 3.9 million Australian children will receive a $1,000 one-off benefit, also commencing in December. Families who receive Family Tax Benefit (A), and families with children who receive Youth Allowance, Abstudy or a benefit from the Veteran Children’s Education scheme, will be eligible.

$1.5b for first home buyers. The current $7,000 first home buyers’ grant will triple to $21,000 for people buying a newly constructed home. Those first home buyers moving into existing properties will receive a doubling of the allowance to $14,000.

$157m to create new training positions. The Productivity Places Program will increase positions from 57,000 to 113,000 in 2008-09.

The government has also indicated that it will accelerate the implementation of infrastructure spending, with further detail to follow.

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